Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chennai, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Frederico Ferreira Silva		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.78	2.13
	1.69	2.06	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.77	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.67)	1.99 ↓ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederico Ferreira Silva
53.2%

Ilia Simakin
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frederico Ferreira Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frederico Ferreira Silva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Frederico Ferreira Silva - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Simakin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ferreira Silva is ranked ATP: 255. Simakin is ranked ATP: 214.

Ferreira Silva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Simakin is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ferreira Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferreira Silva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Frederico Ferreira Silva - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.26%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Ilia Simakin - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.74%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Ioannis Xilas - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Karan Singh - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Ivan Gakhov - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Ilia Simakin - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Ilia Simakin - Philip Sekulic	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Ilia Simakin - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Ilia Simakin	2:0

Frederico Ferreira Silva - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide