Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 2, hard - Final

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Ilia Simakin		Yi Zhou

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3.01	1.42
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.21)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
38.1%

Yi Zhou
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ilia Simakin - Yi Zhou Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Simakin (votes: 2 - 50%). Zhou (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 275. Zhou is ranked ATP: 238.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Simakin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zhou might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Zhou will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Simakin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Ilia Simakin - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.22%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL
- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Yi Zhou - Daniel Michalski	Michalski D. retired ✺
30.01.26	Yi Zhou - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Yi Zhou - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Yi Zhou - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.04.25	Ilia Simakin - Yi Zhou	2:1

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