Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mouilleron-Le-Captif (France) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Gabriel Debru		Lucas Pouille

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Gabriel Debru
27.5%

Lucas Pouille
72.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Debru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Lucas Pouille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Debru than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Debru is ranked ATP: 268. Pouille is ranked ATP: 124.

Recent matches Debru is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pouille is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pouille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pouille is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pouille to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Debru
ATP Challenger
12.09.24	Gabriel Debru - Gerard Campana Lee	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Gabriel Debru	0:2 ✺
03.09.24	Gabriel Debru - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Gabriel Debru - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Gabriel Debru - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLWW
- Lucas Pouille
ATP Challenger
25.09.24	Lucas Pouille - Hugo Grenier	Canceled ✺
22.09.24	Lucas Pouille - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Lucas Pouille - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
19.09.24	Liam Broady - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LWWW

Gabriel Debru - Lucas Pouille