Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NOTTINGHAM (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 June 2023, Thursday


	Gabriel Diallo		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.57	2.35
	1.52	2.59
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.47	2.54	Watch
	1.5	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.51)	2.43 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
61.6%

Alex Michelsen
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Gabriel Diallo - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: Gabriel Diallo will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Diallo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michelsen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Diallo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Diallo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Gabriel Diallo - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
09.06.23	Gabriel Diallo - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Daniel Evans - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
06.06.23	Liam Broady - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Timofey Skatov - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Alex Michelsen - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
12.06.23	Laurent Lokoli - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
11.06.23	Harry Wendelken - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
01.06.23	Alexis Galarneau - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
31.05.23	Alexis Galarneau - Alex Michelsen	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWL?

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