Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRATISLAVA 2 (SLOVAKIA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday


	Gabriel Diallo		Arthur Fery

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.88	1.94
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.76	Watch
	1.96	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.21)	1.82 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
48.4%

Arthur Fery
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabriel Diallo's performance.

Arthur Fery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Fery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriel Diallo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Fery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Gabriel Diallo - Arthur Fery Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Fery will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Diallo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fery is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fery could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Fery to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Challenger
02.10.23	Gabriel Diallo - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
25.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Tristan Lamasine	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
16.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
14.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LL?LW
- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
08.10.23	Arthur Fery - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Antoine Escoffier - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
06.10.23	Arthur Fery - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
05.10.23	David Goffin - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Robin Bertrand - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWW

Gabriel Diallo - Arthur Fery: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide