Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 March 2025, Monday


	Gabriel Diallo		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.74	1.98
	1.8	1.97	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.44)	2.04 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
54.1%

Yosuke Watanuki
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gabriel Diallo's form might have worsened.

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yosuke Watanuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriel Diallo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yosuke Watanuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Gabriel Diallo - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Watanuki will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watanuki: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 88. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 349.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Diallo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Diallo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Arthur Fils - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Gabriel Diallo - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Gabriel Diallo - Hady Habib	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.25	Gabriel Diallo - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Tomas Machac - Yosuke Watanuki	Machac T. retired ✺
05.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Rudy Quan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LW?WW

Gabriel Diallo - Yosuke Watanuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide