Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Parma - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Gabriela Ce		Deborah Chiesa

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.51
	2.58	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.25)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriela Ce
36.5%

Deborah Chiesa
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriela Ce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Deborah Chiesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriela Ce than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriela Ce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deborah Chiesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gabriela Ce - Deborah Chiesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ce will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Chiesa will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ce is ranked WTA: 335. Chiesa is ranked WTA: 507.

Ce has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chiesa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chiesa might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Chiesa will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ce won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriela Ce - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriela Ce
ITF Tournaments
22.04.26	Gabriela Ce - Alina Granwehr	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
11.04.26	Gabriela Ce - Victoria Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Gabriela Ce - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Gabriela Ce - Antonia Vergara Rivera	2:1 ✺
WTA Bogota
28.03.26	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Gabriela Ce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL
- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
03.05.26	Georgia Pedone - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Deborah Chiesa - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Deborah Chiesa - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Natalija Senic - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Cindy Langlais - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.08.24	Gabriela Ce - Deborah Chiesa	2:1
27.06.24	Deborah Chiesa - Gabriela Ce	0:2

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