Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 5, clay - Final

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Georgia Pedone		Deborah Chiesa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.71	2.13
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.72	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Georgia Pedone
53.3%

Deborah Chiesa
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Georgia Pedone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Georgia Pedone than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Georgia Pedone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deborah Chiesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Georgia Pedone - Deborah Chiesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pedone is ranked WTA: 330. Chiesa is ranked WTA: 513.

Pedone has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Chiesa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Georgia Pedone - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Georgia Pedone
ITF Tournaments
02.05.26	Selena Janicijevic - Georgia Pedone	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Georgia Pedone - Dunja Maric	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Georgia Pedone - Elena Korokozidi	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Georgia Pedone - Arina Garbiela Vasilescu	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Georgia Pedone - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW
- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
02.05.26	Deborah Chiesa - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Deborah Chiesa - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Natalija Senic - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Cindy Langlais - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL

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