Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Gabriela Ce		Jasmin Ortenzi

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.92	1.79	Watch
	2.02	1.82
			Watch
	1.94	1.8	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.37)	1.76 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriela Ce
46.9%

Jasmin Ortenzi
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriela Ce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabriela Ce's performance.

Jasmin Ortenzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmin Ortenzi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriela Ce than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriela Ce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmin Ortenzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Gabriela Ce - Jasmin Ortenzi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ce will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ortenzi will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gabriela Ce will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ce is ranked WTA: 377. Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 286.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ortenzi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ortenzi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriela Ce
ITF Tournaments
04.10.25	Laura Pigossi - Gabriela Ce	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Gabriela Ce - Antonia Vergara Rivera	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Gabriela Ce - Rebeca Pereira	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Gabriela Ce - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Gabriela Ce - Rada Zolotareva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL
- Jasmin Ortenzi
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Maria Fernanda Lopes	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Carla Markus	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Ana Candiotto - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.10.21	Gabriela Ce - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2
06.04.21	Gabriela Ce - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:0

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