Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Sao Paulo 3, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Jasmin Ortenzi		Carolina Alves

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.57	2.35
			Watch
	1.51	2.42	Watch
	1.5	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)	2.37 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmin Ortenzi
60.9%

Carolina Alves
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmin Ortenzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Carolina Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Jasmin Ortenzi - Carolina Alves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 287. Alves is ranked WTA: 250.

Ortenzi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alves's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ortenzi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ortenzi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ortenzi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmin Ortenzi
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Ana Candiotto - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Josefina Estevez - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Luana Plaza Araujo - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Maria Florencia Urrutia	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLW
- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Miriana Tona - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva - Carolina Alves	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Berta Bonardi - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
WTA Sao Paulo
08.09.25	Carolina Alves - Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Carolina Alves - Dana Guzman	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.03.25	Carolina Alves - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:1
25.01.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Carolina Alves	2:0
19.01.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Carolina Alves	0:2
26.04.24	Carolina Alves - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2
14.03.24	Carolina Alves - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:0

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