Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Gabriela Knutson		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.62	2.20
	1.64	2.2
	1.66	2.33
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.64	2.25
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.68)	2.23 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriela Knutson
57.8%

Varvara Lepchenko
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriela Knutson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriela Knutson than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriela Knutson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Lepchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Gabriela Knutson - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Knutson will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lepchenko will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Knutson is ranked WTA: 186. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 184.

Knutson is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lepchenko is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Knutson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Knutson will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Lepchenko - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriela Knutson
ATP Challenger
08.08.26	Carol Young Suh Lee - Gabriela Knutson	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Elizara Yaneva - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Justina Mikulskyte - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Gabriela Knutson - Ella Seidel	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Gabriela Knutson - Sofia Costoulas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWW
- Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.26	Alina Korneeva - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
01.08.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Emerson Jones	1:2 ✺
WTA Washington
26.07.26	Polina Kudermetova - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Clervie Ngounoue - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Hamburg
20.07.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Elina Avanesyan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

Gabriela Knutson - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide