Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Gabriele Pennaforti		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	2.6	1.42
	2.6	1.42
	2.63	1.45
	2.64	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.66	1.43	Watch
	2.6	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.75)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Pennaforti
35%

Arthur Gea
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Gabriele Pennaforti - Arthur Gea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 425. Gea is ranked ATP: 324.

Recent matches Pennaforti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gea is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gea will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
10.10.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
08.10.24	Gabriele Maria Noce - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Andrea de Marchi - Gabriele Pennaforti	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
09.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
07.10.24	Arthur Gea - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Alexander Ritschard - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	Arthur Gea - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLL

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