Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday


	Gabriele Pennaforti		Jay Clarke

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.02	1.68
	2.17	1.62
	2.04	1.69	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	2.02	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.83)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gabriele Pennaforti
44.7%

Jay Clarke
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gabriele Pennaforti's form might have worsened.

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jay Clarke's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriele Pennaforti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jay Clarke, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gabriele Pennaforti - Jay Clarke Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 425. Clarke is ranked ATP: 266.

Two players are playing changeable.

Clarke could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jay Clarke - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
08.10.24	Gabriele Maria Noce - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Andrea de Marchi - Gabriele Pennaforti	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Daniel Michalski - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL
- Jay Clarke
ITF Tournaments
09.10.24	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Jay Clarke - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Jay Clarke - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Jay Clarke - Niccolo Catini	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Jay Clarke - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW

Gabriele Pennaforti - Jay Clarke: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide