Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Gael Monfils		Borna Gojo

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.59	2.37	Watch
	1.67	2.33
	1.61	2.28	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.59	2.4	Watch
	1.59	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.51)	2.42 ↓ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
60.5%

Borna Gojo
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Borna Gojo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Gojo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Gael Monfils - Borna Gojo Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Monfils will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Gojo will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gael Monfils will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monfils is ranked ATP: 42. Gojo is ranked ATP: 353.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gojo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Monfils will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Gael Monfils - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Andrey Rublev - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Gael Monfils - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Gael Monfils - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Jaume Munar - Gael Monfils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 ?LWLW
- Borna Gojo
ATP Madrid
22.04.25	Borna Gojo - Jerome Kym	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Marton Fucsovics - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.25	Borna Gojo - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Borna Gojo - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Borna Gojo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLW?

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