Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Andrey Rublev		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.54	Watch
	1.51	2.6	Watch
	1.45	2.72	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.52	Watch
	1.51	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.65)	2.57 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
63%

Gael Monfils
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrey Rublev's performance.

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gael Monfils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrey Rublev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gael Monfils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Andrey Rublev - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Rublev will win (votes: 17 - 63%). Monfils will win (votes: 10 - 37%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 44.8% – 81.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 7 - 70%). Monfils (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Rublev (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Monfils (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 9. Monfils is ranked ATP: 44.

Recent matches Rublev is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monfils is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rublev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rublev will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rublev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Andrey Rublev - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Quentin Halys - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
22.02.25	Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW
- Gael Monfils
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Gael Monfils - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Gael Monfils - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Jaume Munar - Gael Monfils	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Gael Monfils - Jiri Lehecka	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Gael Monfils - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
31.08.23	Gael Monfils - Andrey Rublev	1:3
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.21	Andrey Rublev - Gael Monfils	2:0
ATP Doha
06.01.18	Gael Monfils - Andrey Rublev	2:0

Andrey Rublev - Gael Monfils: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide