Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max


	Gael Monfils		Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.12	1.73	Watch
	2.16	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.13	1.8	Watch
	2.12	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.9)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
44.6%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gael Monfils's form might have worsened.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gael Monfils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	0%	79.4%

Gael Monfils - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Predictions

Users Predictions: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will win (53 of 67 users predict this - 79.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.36% – 88.84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Monfils is ranked ATP: 52. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 31.

Monfils in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mpetshi Perricard is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Monfils could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Mpetshi Perricard to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Auckland
10.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
09.01.25	Gael Monfils - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
08.01.25	Gael Monfils - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Gael Monfils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Auckland
06.01.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Bu Yunchaokete	Canceled ✺
ATP Brisbane
04.01.25	Reilly Opelka - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
03.01.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
02.01.25	Francis Tiafoe - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
31.12.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Nick Kyrgios	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 ?LWWW

Gael Monfils - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide