Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.54	1.57
	2.48	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.32	1.63	Watch
	2.55	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.09)	1.57 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
39.2%

Gael Monfils
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan-Lennard Struff's form might have worsened.

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gael Monfils's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan-Lennard Struff, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gael Monfils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.9%	0%	62.1%

Jan Lennard Struff - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%). Monfils will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Struff is ranked ATP: 46. Monfils is ranked ATP: 42.

Recent matches Struff is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monfils is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Monfils will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Monfils to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Struff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Daniil Medvedev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
14.02.25	Daniil Medvedev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
11.02.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW
- Gael Monfils
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Gael Monfils - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.25	Gael Monfils - Ben Shelton	Monfils G. retired ✺
17.01.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Gael Monfils	1:3 ✺
15.01.25	Daniel Altmaier - Gael Monfils	0:3 ✺
13.01.25	Gael Monfils - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 L?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Gael Monfils	0:2
ATP Doha
03.01.18	Jan-Lennard Struff - Gael Monfils	1:2
Davis Cup World Group
08.03.15	Jan-Lennard Struff - Gael Monfils	Canceled
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.14	Gael Monfils - Jan-Lennard Struff	3:0

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