Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Stellabotte N. (Ita)


	Gastao Elias		Elmer Moeller

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.85	1.88	Watch
	1.86	1.97
	1.87	1.97
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.91	Watch
	1.81	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.53)	1.92 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
51.1%

Elmer Moeller
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gastao Elias's form might have worsened.

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elmer Moeller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gastao Elias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elmer Moeller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gastao Elias - Elmer Moeller Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moeller will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Elias is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Moeller is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moeller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Elias will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
07.05.24	Gastao Elias - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
06.05.24	Guy Den Ouden - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
18.04.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Gastao Elias - Maks Kasnikowski	Kasnikowski M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWL?
- Elmer Moeller
ATP Challenger
07.05.24	Alessandro Giannessi - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Elmer Moeller - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.05.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Elmer Moeller	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Federico Iannaccone - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	Louis Wessels - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW

Gastao Elias - Elmer Moeller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide