Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Gastao Elias		Henry Searle

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.16	1.7
	3.28	1.28	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.12	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.83)	1.57 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
39.7%

Henry Searle
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gastao Elias's form might have worsened.

Henry Searle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henry Searle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gastao Elias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henry Searle than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henry Searle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gastao Elias - Henry Searle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Elias is ranked ATP: 389. Searle is ranked ATP: 476.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Searle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Gastao Elias - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Henry Searle - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Gauthier Onclin - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Gastao Elias - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Gastao Elias - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Gastao Elias - Frederico Ferreira Silva	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLL?
- Henry Searle
ITF Tournaments
06.02.26	Harry Wendelken - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Finn Murgett - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Adrien Gobat - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Charles Broom - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Alec Deckers - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW

Gastao Elias - Henry Searle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide