Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday


	Gastao Elias		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.49	1.47	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.45	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.84)	1.51 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
38.3%

Mikhail Kukushkin
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gastao Elias's form might have worsened.

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikhail Kukushkin's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Gastao Elias - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Elias (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Elias is ranked ATP: 370. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 262.

Kukushkin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kukushkin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Gastao Elias - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Mikhail Kukushkin - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Gastao Elias - Frederico Ferreira Silva	Canceled ✺
25.11.25	Gastao Elias - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.11.25	Tiago Torres - Gastao Elias	Canceled ✺
12.11.25	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Gastao Elias	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	Tomas Luis - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 ?L?LW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Rudolf Molleker - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Clement Chidekh	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
16.01.26	Hynek Barton - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LW?WW

Gastao Elias - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide