Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday


	Gauthier Onclin		James McCabe

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.60
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.76
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.43	2.7
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	2.71 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthier Onclin
65.6%

James McCabe
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

James McCabe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

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Preview

Onclin is ranked ATP: 169. McCabe is ranked ATP: 243.

Onclin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

McCabe is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Onclin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Onclin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Onclin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Gauthier Onclin - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.21%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

James McCabe - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.79%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
13.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Yi Zhou	Canceled ✺
25.07.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Gauthier Onclin - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LW?LW
- James McCabe
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	James McCabe - Noah Zamora	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	James McCabe - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
25.07.26	James McCabe - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	James McCabe - Duncan Chan	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	James McCabe - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Gauthier Onclin - James McCabe	McCabe J. retired

Gauthier Onclin - James McCabe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide