Match Info

Date: 11 April 2022, Monday


	Gian Marco Moroni		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.15	1.68	Watch
	2.21	1.57
	2.12	1.74
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.5)	1.66 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gian Marco Moroni
43.6%

Pavel Kotov
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gian Marco Moroni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gian Marco Moroni's performance.

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pavel Kotov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gian Marco Moroni than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gian Marco Moroni that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pavel Kotov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Gian Marco Moroni - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Moroni will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Kotov will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moroni: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moroni is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kotov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moroni won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gian Marco Moroni
ATP Marrakech
05.04.22	Mirza Basic - Gian Marco Moroni	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Eduard Esteve Lobato - Gian Marco Moroni	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.22	Thiago Monteiro - Gian Marco Moroni	2:0 ✺
14.03.22	Andrej Martin - Gian Marco Moroni	Canceled
08.03.22	Carlos Gimeno Valero - Gian Marco Moroni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWL?L
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Marrakech
07.04.22	Richard Gasquet - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
06.04.22	Pavel Kotov - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
05.04.22	Fernando Verdasco - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
03.04.22	Rafael Matos - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.22	Jerome Kym - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.04.21	Pavel Kotov - Gian Marco Moroni	0:2

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