Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Pavel Kotov		Tallon Griekspoor

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.75	1.45	Watch
	2.66	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.8	1.46	Watch
	2.8	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.79)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
34.5%

Tallon Griekspoor
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Pavel Kotov - Tallon Griekspoor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Griekspoor will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Griekspoor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 187., and Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 58..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kotov won 2.

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Kotov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Griekspoor holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Kotov has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Tallon Griekspoor - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.35%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Shanghai
06.10.26	Pavel Kotov - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Martin Damm - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWL
- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Ben Shelton - Tallon Griekspoor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
14.10.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov	2:0
20.10.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov	0:2
ATP Australian Open
15.01.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov	3:0
ATP Marrakech
06.04.22	Pavel Kotov - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1
ATP Challenger
13.03.20	Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov	Canceled
23.04.19	Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov	1:2

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