Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Alexander Weis

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	1.96	1.72
	1.92	1.81
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.96	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.24)	1.76 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
47.4%

Alexander Weis
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gianluca Cadenasso's performance.

Alexander Weis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Weis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+4%)

Gianluca Cadenasso - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 551. Weis is ranked ATP: 367.

Recent matches Cadenasso is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Weis is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cadenasso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Weis will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ITF Tournaments
01.10.24	Gianluca Cadenasso - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Gianluca Cadenasso - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.08.24	Tim Handel - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	Gianluca Cadenasso - Gian Marco Ortenzi	2:1 ✺
22.08.24	Gianluca Cadenasso - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWW
- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
30.09.24	Samuele Pieri - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
24.09.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
27.08.24	Alexander Weis - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Alexander Weis - Max Hans Rehberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

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