Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Carlos Lopez Montagud

	1	2
			Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.39	2.92
	1.33	3.08	Watch
			Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)	2.93 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
68.2%

Carlos Lopez Montagud
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Carlos Lopez Montagud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (+1%)

Gianluca Cadenasso - Carlos Lopez Montagud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 365. Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 543.

Cadenasso is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Lopez Montagud has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cadenasso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cadenasso might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cadenasso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.11.25	Martin Krumich - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Filippo Moroni	Moroni F. retired ✺
25.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLW?W
- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.11.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Pietro Marino	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Sergi Fita Juan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.11.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2

Gianluca Cadenasso - Carlos Lopez Montagud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide