Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 12, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Martin Krumich

	1	2
			Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.73	1.96	Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.52)	1.97 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
53%

Martin Krumich
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gianluca Cadenasso's form might have worsened.

Martin Krumich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martin Krumich's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gianluca Cadenasso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Krumich than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martin Krumich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gianluca Cadenasso - Martin Krumich Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 507. Krumich is ranked ATP: 410.

Cadenasso has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Krumich is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cadenasso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cadenasso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Ivan Gakhov - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Sebastian Sorger - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Giovanni Oradini - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Martin Krumich
ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Felix Gill - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Giammarco Gandolfi - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Martin Krumich - Dominik Recek	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Manuel Mazza - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Martin Krumich	2:0
ATP Challenger
18.09.22	Martin Krumich - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0

Gianluca Cadenasso - Martin Krumich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide