Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Gianluca Mager		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.2	1.31	Watch
	3.7	1.29
	3.42	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.35	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.18)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Mager
28.3%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gianluca Mager - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mager is ranked ATP: 455. Varillas is ranked ATP: 239.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Mager may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Varillas is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mager won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Gianluca Mager - Conner Huertas Del Pino	Mager G. retired ✺
27.04.25	Gianluca Mager - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	Barreiros Reyes M. retired ✺
20.04.25	Elias Ymer - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Jacopo Vasami - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gianluca Mager - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 ??LLL
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	James Duckworth - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.07.18	Gianluca Mager - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2

Gianluca Mager - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide