Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Campinas, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Campinas 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.86	1.85	Watch
	1.85	1.94	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.87	Watch
	1.86	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
50.9%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrios Vera (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 147. Varillas is ranked ATP: 269.

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Varillas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Varillas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barrios Vera won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Emilio Nava - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Hernan Casanova - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
30.01.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0
ATP Challenger
15.10.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2
26.11.20	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2
ITF Tournaments
06.09.19	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio