Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BARLETTA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 April 2023, Monday


	Gianluca Mager		Laurent Lokoli

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.6	2.3
	1.61	2.38
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.29	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.7)	2.25 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Mager
58.4%

Laurent Lokoli
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Laurent Lokoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Gianluca Mager - Laurent Lokoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mager will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lokoli will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Mager could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mager will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mager won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
31.03.23	Gianluca Mager - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
29.03.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Luca Nardi - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Nino Serdarusic - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Sebastian Ofner - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL
- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Laurent Lokoli - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
20.03.23	Laurent Lokoli - Arthur Cazaux	Canceled ✺
03.03.23	Laurent Lokoli - Kaichi Uchida	1:2 ✺
02.03.23	Laurent Lokoli - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
28.02.23	Raul Brancaccio - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.05.19	Laurent Lokoli - Gianluca Mager	1:2
27.06.17	Gianluca Mager - Laurent Lokoli	2:1

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