Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANREMO (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2023, Tuesday


	Luca Nardi		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	1.91
	1.8	1.95
	1.83	2.01
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.99	Watch
	1.8	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.65)	1.97 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
52.7%

Gianluca Mager
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Luca Nardi - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Nardi will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nardi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mager is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nardi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Max Purcell - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Luca Nardi - Dominik Palan	2:1 ✺
03.03.23	Rio Noguchi - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
28.02.23	Benjamin Lock - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWW
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
21.03.23	Nino Serdarusic - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Sebastian Ofner - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
10.03.23	Gianluca Mager - Nerman Fatic	Fatic N. retired ✺
08.03.23	Flavio Cobolli - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Gerald Melzer - Gianluca Mager	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LL?W?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.06.22	Gianluca Mager - Luca Nardi	1:2

Luca Nardi - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide