Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Sebastian Ofner		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.67	2.16
	1.68	2.23
	1.73	2
	1.66	2.16	Watch
	1.73	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.03)	2.11 ↑ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
55.5%

Gianluca Mager
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Ofner's performance.

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gianluca Mager might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Ofner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gianluca Mager could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Sebastian Ofner - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Mager will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Mager could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
10.03.23	Sebastian Ofner - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	Sebastian Ofner - Mate Valkusz	2:1 ✺
07.03.23	Sebastian Ofner - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
21.02.23	Sebastian Ofner - Max Purcell	1:2 ✺
13.02.23	Seong Chan Hong - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLL
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
10.03.23	Gianluca Mager - Nerman Fatic	Fatic N. retired ✺
08.03.23	Flavio Cobolli - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Gerald Melzer - Gianluca Mager	Canceled ✺
07.03.23	Lukas Neumayer - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
08.02.23	Gianluca Mager - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?W?WL

Sebastian Ofner - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide