Match Info

Date: 1 September 2022, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Gijs Brouwer		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.63	1.49
	2.7	1.47
	2.73	1.52
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.72	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.17)	1.47 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gijs Brouwer
35.1%

Lorenzo Musetti
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gijs Brouwer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gijs Brouwer than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.1%	0%	65.9%

Gijs Brouwer - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Brouwer will win (votes: 14 - 34.1%). Musetti will win (votes: 27 - 65.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 51.4% – 80.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Brouwer is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Musetti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Musetti is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gijs Brouwer
ATP US Open
30.08.22	Adrian Mannarino - Gijs Brouwer	0:3 ✺
26.08.22	Paul Jubb - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
25.08.22	Gijs Brouwer - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
24.08.22	Gijs Brouwer - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.22	Ben Shelton - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP US Open
30.08.22	David Goffin - Lorenzo Musetti	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.22	Richard Gasquet - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Borna Coric - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW

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