Match Info

Date: 23 August 2022, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Richard Gasquet		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	2.37	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.25	1.64
	2.25	1.6
	2.3	1.7
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.22)	1.61 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richard Gasquet
41%

Lorenzo Musetti
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richard Gasquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richard Gasquet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.9%	0%	62.1%

Richard Gasquet - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Gasquet will win (votes: 22 - 37.9%). Musetti will win (votes: 36 - 62.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 49.6% – 74.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gasquet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Musetti will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richard Gasquet
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.22	Richard Gasquet - Kamil Majchrzak	Majchrzak K. retired ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
26.07.22	Richard Gasquet - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
25.07.22	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	Canceled ✺
ATP Gstaad
21.07.22	Richard Gasquet - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
19.07.22	Richard Gasquet - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?L?LW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Borna Coric - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
ATP Umag
28.07.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
26.07.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Aljaz Bedene	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW

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