Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 7 (ITALY), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 7 (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Enrico Dalla Valle

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	1.9	1.8
	1.96	1.81
	2.1	1.67
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	1.96	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.57)	1.75 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
47.1%

Enrico Dalla Valle
52.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gilles Arnaud Bailly's performance.

Enrico Dalla Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Enrico Dalla Valle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gilles Arnaud Bailly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enrico Dalla Valle than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Enrico Dalla Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Bailly in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Dalla Valle is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Dalla Valle to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bailly won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
29.09.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Luca Potenza - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
27.09.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Davide Galoppini	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL
- Enrico Dalla Valle
ITF Tournaments
29.09.23	Enrico Dalla Valle - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
28.09.23	Fabrizio Andaloro - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
27.09.23	Alexander Maarten Jong - Enrico Dalla Valle	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Daniel Bagnolini - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.09.23	Miljan Zekic - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Enrico Dalla Valle

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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