Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SZCZECIN (POLAND), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 September 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: SZCZECIN (POLAND) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Francesco Maestrelli		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.54
	1.56	2.5
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.61	Watch
	1.46	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	2.58 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
63.6%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
36.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Francesco Maestrelli - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions

Users Predictions: Francesco Maestrelli will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Maestrelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Maestrelli will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Marco Cecchinato - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Rottoli	1:2 ✺
22.08.23	Mathys Erhard - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
18.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
17.08.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Gabriel Debru	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLW
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
21.08.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.08.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Marlon Vankan	0:2 ✺
15.08.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - William Jucha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Moise Kouame - Francesco Maestrelli	✺

Francesco Maestrelli - Gilles Arnaud Bailly