Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Hugo Dellien

	1	2
			Watch
	3.20	1.30
	3.3	1.29
	3.55	1.33
	3.57	1.26	Watch
	3.45	1.28
	3.41	1.27	Watch
	3.3	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.39)	1.29 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
27.5%

Hugo Dellien
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gilles Arnaud Bailly's form might have worsened.

Hugo Dellien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Dellien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gilles Arnaud Bailly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Dellien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Hugo Dellien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 244. Dellien is ranked ATP: 140.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bailly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dellien is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Dellien - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.44%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Timofey Skatov - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Fadi Bidan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW
- Hugo Dellien
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Federico Cina - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Moez Echargui - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLL

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