Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Prague, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Norbert Gombos

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.70
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.77
	2.01	1.71
	2.07	1.75
	2.03	1.68	Watch
	2.03	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.85)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
45.6%

Norbert Gombos
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Norbert Gombos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gilles Arnaud Bailly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norbert Gombos than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norbert Gombos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 230. Gombos is ranked ATP: 424.

Bailly has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gombos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gombos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Gombos will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.7%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Norbert Gombos - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.3%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Fadi Bidan	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Mac Visser	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Zaccharie Cado	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWWL
- Norbert Gombos
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Andrew Paulson - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Jiri Cizek - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Norbert Gombos - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Norbert Gombos - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Franco Roncadelli - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Norbert Gombos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide