Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BERGAMO (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.22	1.69
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.31	1.56	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.68)	1.62 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
42.3%

Hugo Grenier
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gilles Arnaud Bailly's performance.

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Grenier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gilles Arnaud Bailly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Grenier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bailly will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Grenier will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bailly is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Grenier is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bailly could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Grenier will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
25.10.23	Kyle Edmund - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
16.10.23	Alexander Blockx - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
05.10.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Antwerp
15.10.23	Hugo Grenier - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Hugo Grenier - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Constant Lestienne - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Hugo Grenier - Dennis Novak	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Hugo Grenier - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWW

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Hugo Grenier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide