Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	1.73	2.00	Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.76	2.00
	1.79	2.03
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.71	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)	2.01 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
53.5%

Calvin Hemery
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 244. Hemery is ranked ATP: 328.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bailly won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Timofey Skatov - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
02.09.26	Thomas Faurel - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. Retired ✺
01.09.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Calvin Hemery - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Mika Brunold - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Petr Nesterov - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?WLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Calvin Hemery	1:2

Upcoming Matches