Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.45	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.73
	1.49	2.59	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.32)	2.61 ↓ (3.01)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
64.1%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.5%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gilles Arnaud Bailly's form might have worsened.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gilles Arnaud Bailly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bailly will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gueymard Wayenburg will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bailly (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 459. Gueymard Wayenburg is ranked ATP: 249.

Bailly has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gueymard Wayenburg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gueymard Wayenburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bailly is considered a favorite.

We predict that Bailly will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
24.07.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Dmitry Popko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.07.25	Marat Sharipov - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Lucas Bouquet - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Challenger
24.07.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Thomas Deschamps	2:1 ✺
08.07.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Louis Larue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWLWW

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide