Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Thomas Faurel

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.59	2.21	Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.61	2.26	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.69	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.85)	2.16 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
56.9%

Thomas Faurel
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gilles Arnaud Bailly's performance.

Thomas Faurel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thomas Faurel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Thomas Faurel Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bailly will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Faurel will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bailly: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gilles Arnaud Bailly will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 459. Faurel is ranked ATP: 785.

Bailly is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Faurel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Faurel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Bailly will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Dmitry Popko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.07.25	Marat Sharipov - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Lucas Bouquet - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Mickael Kaouk - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW
- Thomas Faurel
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Timofey Skatov - Thomas Faurel	Skatov T. retired ✺
21.07.25	Jelle Sels - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Thomas Faurel - Dali Blanch	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Thomas Faurel - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 ?WWLW

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Thomas Faurel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide