Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday


	Jelle Sels		Thomas Faurel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.78
	1.7	2	Watch
	2	1.78
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.7	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.55)	1.88 ↓ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
50.6%

Thomas Faurel
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelle Sels's form might have worsened.

Thomas Faurel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thomas Faurel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelle Sels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thomas Faurel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Jelle Sels - Thomas Faurel Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sels will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Faurel will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Faurel: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Faurel (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Sels is ranked ATP: 311. Faurel is ranked ATP: 806.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sels may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sels could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sels won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
20.07.25	Jelle Sels - Oskari Eerola	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Jelle Sels - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Jelle Sels - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Jelle Sels - Petr Brunclik	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL
- Thomas Faurel
ATP Challenger
20.07.25	Thomas Faurel - Dali Blanch	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Thomas Faurel - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Thomas Faurel - Andrea Motta	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.07.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.05.25	Thomas Faurel - Jelle Sels	0:2

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