Match Info

Date: 21 June 2021, Monday


	Gilles Simon		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.43	1.56	Watch
	2.31	1.57
	2.4	1.63
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.47	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.31)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Simon
39.5%

Casper Ruud
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Simon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Simon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	0%	86.2%

Gilles Simon - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: Casper Ruud will win (50 of 58 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.34% – 95.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Simon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Simon will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Simon
ATP Halle
15.06.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gilles Simon	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
08.06.21	Gilles Simon - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
07.06.21	Gilles Simon - Peter Gojowczyk	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.21	Marton Fucsovics - Gilles Simon	3:0 ✺
ATP Parma
25.05.21	Gilles Simon - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LL?LL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Roland Garros
04.06.21	Casper Ruud - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:3 ✺
02.06.21	Casper Ruud - Kamil Majchrzak	3:0 ✺
31.05.21	Casper Ruud - Benoit Paire	3:1 ✺
ATP Geneva
22.05.21	Casper Ruud - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
21.05.21	Pablo Andujar-Alba - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW

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