The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gilles Simon 58.7%
Hugo Gaston 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.4%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.2%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gilles Simon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gilles Simon's form might have worsened.
Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Gaston's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Simon than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gilles Simon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
0%
90%
Gilles Simon - Hugo Gaston Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Simon will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Gaston will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 71.4% – 100%.