Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MARSEILLE (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 February 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ugo Humbert		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.9	Watch
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.26	4.24
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.2	4.66	Watch
	1.24	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)	4.09 ↑ (3.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
76.7%

Hugo Gaston
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ugo Humbert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Ugo Humbert - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Gaston will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Humbert is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaston is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gaston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Humbert is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Humbert won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Australian Open
19.01.24	Ugo Humbert - Hubert Hurkacz	1:3 ✺
18.01.24	Ugo Humbert - Zhizhen Zhang	3:1 ✺
15.01.24	Ugo Humbert - David Goffin	3:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
03.01.24	Jordan Thompson - Ugo Humbert	Thompson J. walkover ✺
02.01.24	Alex Michelsen - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWW?W
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Marseille
06.02.24	Hugo Gaston - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
05.02.24	Hugo Gaston - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Hugo Gaston - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
30.01.24	Hugo Gaston - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.01.24	Hugo Gaston - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Challenge Elite FFT 2 Men
16.07.20	Ugo Humbert - Hugo Gaston	0:2

Ugo Humbert - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide