Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2024, Monday

Referee: Pece D. (Ita)


	Giovanni Fonio		Cezar Cretu

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.31
	1.64	2.31
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.06	Watch
	1.55	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.84)	2.24 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Fonio
58.5%

Cezar Cretu
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giovanni Fonio's performance.

Cezar Cretu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cezar Cretu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giovanni Fonio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cezar Cretu than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cezar Cretu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Giovanni Fonio - Cezar Cretu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fonio is ranked ATP: 288. Cretu is ranked ATP: 293.

Fonio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cretu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fonio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fonio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
31.07.24	Alexandre Muller - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Mateus Alves - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Giovanni Fonio - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
13.07.24	Giovanni Fonio - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.24	Titouan Droguet - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Cezar Cretu
ATP Challenger
07.08.24	Cezar Cretu - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
05.08.24	Cezar Cretu - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.07.24	Cezar Cretu - Alex Marti Pujolras	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Cezar Cretu - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Cezar Cretu - Radu Mihai Papoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.09.23	Giovanni Fonio - Cezar Cretu	2:0
ITF Tournaments
23.01.22	Cezar Cretu - Giovanni Fonio	0:2

Giovanni Fonio - Cezar Cretu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide