The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giovanni Fonio 32.7%
Luciano Darderi 67.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
58.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
59.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giovanni Fonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Fonio's form might have worsened.
Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Fonio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Giovanni Fonio - Luciano Darderi Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Fonio will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Darderi will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Fonio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Darderi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Darderi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Darderi will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Fonio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.