Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday


	Giovanni Oradini		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.34
	2.72	1.43	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	2.81	1.39	Watch
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.62)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Oradini
32.6%

Gabriele Pennaforti
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Oradini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Oradini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriele Pennaforti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Giovanni Oradini - Gabriele Pennaforti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Oradini is ranked ATP: 563. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 386.

Recent matches Oradini is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pennaforti has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pennaforti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pennaforti will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Oradini won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Nicolas Parizzia - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Giacomo Crisostomo - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Karim-Mohamed Maamoun - Giovanni Oradini	2:1 ✺
14.03.25	Giovanni Oradini - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Giovanni Oradini - Alberto Bronzetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Milos Karol - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Daniel Rincon - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Orlando Luz - Gabriele Pennaforti	Pennaforti G. walkover ✺
07.03.25	Valentin Royer - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.06.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Giovanni Oradini	0:2
ATP Challenger
09.06.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Giovanni Oradini	1:2
14.08.23	Giovanni Oradini - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1

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