Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Milos Karol		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.44	Watch
	2.49	1.48	Watch
	2.64	1.46
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.53	1.48	Watch
	2.49	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2)	1.48 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milos Karol
37.1%

Gabriele Pennaforti
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milos Karol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milos Karol's form might have worsened.

Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriele Pennaforti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milos Karol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriele Pennaforti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Milos Karol - Gabriele Pennaforti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karol is ranked ATP: 436. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 388.

Recent matches Karol is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pennaforti is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pennaforti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pennaforti will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Ryan Peniston - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Christos Glavas - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Milos Karol - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Milos Karol - Demetris Azoides	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Milos Karol - Stuart Parker	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLWL
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Daniel Rincon - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Orlando Luz - Gabriele Pennaforti	Pennaforti G. walkover ✺
07.03.25	Valentin Royer - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LL?LW

Milos Karol - Gabriele Pennaforti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide