Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cervia 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Manuel Mazza		Laurent Lokoli

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Manuel Mazza
47.1%

Laurent Lokoli
52.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Mazza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Laurent Lokoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mazza will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lokoli will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Mazza is ranked ATP: 559. Lokoli is ranked ATP: 437.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Lokoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lokoli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Mazza
ITF Tournaments
16.05.26	Manuel Mazza - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Manuel Mazza	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Filippo Mazzola - Manuel Mazza	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Manuel Mazza - Ioannis Xilas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Manuel Mazza - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL
- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Tristan Boyer - Laurent Lokoli	Lokoli L. Retired ✺
13.05.26	Laurent Lokoli - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Ilia Simakin - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Laurent Lokoli	Dalla Valle E. Retired ✺
10.05.26	Laurent Lokoli - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 ?WW?W

Manuel Mazza - Laurent Lokoli